
Anyone else ready for baseball? Mired in the middle of a painful, almost entirely sunless winter, there are few phrases any more satisfying than this: Pitchers and catchers report in two weeks.
Coming off their first
division championship in 15 years, the Reds haven’t generated this much
offseason enthusiasm since the winter of 1999, a year in which the team added
the best player in the game, Ken Griffey Jr., to a club that barely missed the
playoffs the season before. We all know how that turned out — 2000 was the
opening salvo in lost decade dominated by Griffey’s endless injuries and a
perpetually under-armed starting rotation that saw the following collection of
retreads start on opening day from 2002 to 2005: Joey Hamilton, Jimmy Haynes,
Corey Lidle and Paul Wilson. (That un-fearsome foursome would have trouble
making the Reds 2011 AAA rotation.)
Despite a quiet
off-season when it comes to roster moves — extra parts Edgar Renteria and
Fred Lewis replace Orlando Cabrera and Laynce Nix — don’t expect another 2000
letdown, or at least don’t count on a 2000s-like downturn. For assurance, look
no further than the starting rotation, which should be one of the deepest and
competitive in the Central Division (if not MLB). Bronson Arroyo, Johnny Cueto,
Edison Volquez and Homer Bailey (he’s out of options) seem locks. That leaves
Mike Leake, Travis Wood and Matt Maloney to battle for the fifth spot. And that
doesn’t even include Aroldis Chapman, who looks as though he will get one more
year of seasoning in the bullpen.
The relief corps should be
just as strong — Chapman joins veteran closer Francisco Cordero and set-up men
Bill Bray, Nick Masset and Logan Ondrusek. That leaves newcomer Jose Arredondo
— a onetime Anaheim Angels phenom coming off Tommy John surgery — Jared
Burton, Jordan Smith and probably one of the starters who doesn’t make the
rotation to fill out the final spot or two in the bullpen.
GM Walt Jocketty didn’t bring
in a impact bat this offseason — he wisely spent the winter taking care
of the Reds young, still-emerging core, giving extensions to Joey Votto, Jay
Bruce and Cueto, not to mention Arroyo — which leaves a question mark at
the lead-off spot (will it be Drew Stubbs, Brandon Phillips or someone else?)
and the ever-streaky Jonny Gomes in leftfield.
But, assuming Paul Janish and
Ryan Hanigan don’t regress as they ease into more prominent roles, perhaps the
biggest key to the Reds repeat chances resides in the fragile body of Scott
Rolen, a quiet, unassumingly vital leader who must not only stay healthy — no
small task for him at this stage in his career — but also produce as the guy hitting
between Votto and Bruce. Then there’s his irreplaceable defense; he won is
eighth gold glove last year.
With everything Jocketty (and
predecessor Wayne Krivsky and a committed ownership group) has done to turn
around a once-foundering franchise, the addition of Rolen remains his most
important and prescient move both on and off the field. The 2011 Reds will go
as far as Rolen’s back will allow.