
Mayor Aftab Pureval: For the last 150 years we have leased the railroad to Norfolk Southern for its various entities, and the lease is a 25 year lease, that lease ends this year. The contract requires a negotiation of the lease in anticipation of the lease term ending, which the Cincinnati Railroad Board did. Over the last year they have negotiated aggressively in order to get the best possible deal with the city, both for a lease or for a sale. The parties are very very far apart on the lease terms. Norfolk Southern wants the $25 million that we get based on the most recent lease term to continue into the next 25 years. We want a significantly higher lease term. The parties were not able to close the gap on that lease term.
The financials
AP: It would be whatever the third party arbitrator decides. It would be much less compared to a sale. There’s a certain amount of risk involved letting it go to a third party arbitrator because we don’t know what they’re going to decide, but we know that it won’t be $50-70 million a year, which is conservatively what we would get with the sale of the railroad.
AP: So, we would get $1.6 billion in a lump sum from Norfolk Southern to sell the railroad. I don’t trust future mayors or future city council members any more than anyone else does, so in order to safeguard that $1.6 billion, in order to safeguard it from becoming a slush fund for pet projects, we partnered with the state legislature in order for the sale to move forward. In order for voters in Cincinnati to even vote on selling the railroad, we had to get state law changed. And as a part of that state law we put very, very strict limitations on what that money can be used for, and it can only be used for infrastructure. And it’s exactly the same way we currently use the proceeds of the rail lease to exclusively go to infrastructure.
The other part of the questions is, well, how can we make sure that money will be there? Well, the $1.6 billion principal will not be touched. The $50-70 million we would get every year is based on interest that is accrued by the $1.6 billion principal. So when we invest the $1.6 billion we will only spend down on the interest that is accrued, and we are conservatively estimating that to be $50 to $70 million. Now, the city, even if it is a year where returns are less than that $50 to $70 [million], we still need a specific amount every year from the trust fund. We will get that minimum $25 million, irrespectively of what the returns are if it’s a down year, but for years that it’s an up year, if we get in excess of $50 to $70 [million], all of the returns will go back into the principal. Because the $1.6 billion principal will not be touched, except for in extreme circumstances, that $1.6 billion will be there forever, or in perpetuity. If the $1.6 billion is never touched it’s going to be producing interest, producing money, every year based on that principal investment to go towards infrastructure.
AP: No, the Cincinnati Rail Board will hire investment experts to invest the dollars in various financial products that are safe and reliable, something like a mutual fund.
AP: If this doesn’t pass and our deferred capital maintenance continues to go up by hundreds of millions of dollars then we would no longer be able to maintain the infrastructure we have. Roads will no longer be able to be paved with regularity, potholes will continue to be a challenge. We wouldn’t be able to remove snow effectively and quickly. We’ll have to downsize the number of fire stations and police stations we have, which will have an impact on safety. We won’t be able to maintain the parks we have in our community. The basic blocking and tackling of running a city will no longer be affordable.
Safety
AP: The federal government has exclusive control over managing and regulating the railroad. Even though we currently own the railroad, we have no power to regulate what goes on the rails. We have no power to require rail companies to give us a heads up when they’re transporting hazardous material. The city has no power to regulate the railroad. So, even if we don’t sell the railroad, we’d have no power to prevent something like East Palestine from happening in Cincinnati. Only the federal government has that power.
AP: The railroad board has the exclusive power to manage that relationship with Norfolk Southern, both the lease and/or the sale. In fact, the railroad board has to approve the sale before it can go to council for a vote, and then it goes on the ballot. So all the negotiations were handled by the railroad board. So that’s a good question for them to answer.
AP: Look, I supported all the state legislature changes that got put into place. I want a process that is transparent, that the voters understand what they’re voting on. It’s my responsibility to explain to the residents of Cincinnati what the facts are, the challenges that we’re facing, and why this sale is in the best interest of not just current Cincinnatians, but future Cincinnatians. So, I’m incredibly supportive and proud of the partnership that we have with Columbus.
AP: I think once the Southern Railroad Board meets and decides whether or not to move forward with the ballot, council will then have an opportunity to weigh in and has to take a vote. So to the extent that any testifying takes place, it will likely take place then. There is no other reason that Norfolk Southern hasn’t testified since the initial sale announcement. But I anticipate that we’ll be talking to Norfolk Southern closer to the actual date.
Convincing voters
AP: My reaction is, well, for me the choice is very clear. I am staring down a fiscal situation that is dire with the city not being able to provide basic services that citizens desire. We’re facing a rail industry that puts the city at risk for owning a railroad that the federal government has the exclusive power to manage and regulate, and we’re looking at a sale that could solve both issues. It takes Cincinnati out of the risky liability of owning a railroad, given the derailments that keep happening, and number two, we get an opportunity to secure our fiscal future.
AP: [Inhales and pauses] Um, you know I think it’s really up to me and city leadership to tell the story, to tell the facts, and to persuade people that this is in the best interest of the city. I guess you have to ask Norfolk Southern about their view of their role in it, but, I really do view it as my role as mayor to explain to folks a relatively complex issue. Why, despite its complexity, it is in everyone’s best interest for the sale. I see that more as my responsibility.
AP: Just the opposite. We’re separating from Norfolk Southern entirely. So after this, it’s either having another 25 year relationship with Norfolk Southern, or it’s separating entirely and, not only shoring up our litigation liability, but also getting $1.6 billion dollars to shore up our finances.
AP: We’re envisioning a full-on campaign. For my part, I can say that I’ll be making myself available as much as possible through town halls, through meeting interviews, through community events, explaining the issue, and persuading people that selling the railroad is in the best interest of the city, and doing everything I can to educate and inform, but also ultimately persuade.
AP: Yeah, I mean, that’s a good question. I understand your perspective about why that might be difficult, but the truth of the matter is really simple. I don’t want Cincinnati to have anything to do with the railway industry. I don't want them to have anything to do with the rail carriers, I don't want us to have anything to do with the rail line. There’s so much uncertainty, there’s so much risk. So it really is separating entirely from not just Norfolk Southern, but really from the railway industry, or at least the commercial rail industry as a whole. But on top of that, we also get $1.6 billion to fill a fiscal hole that really does threaten the future of our city. So from my perspective it’s a clear win-win.
AP: I think the storytelling is twofold. Number one, the storytelling of protecting Cincinnati from the rail industry, I think is part of it. The second part of it is painting in people's minds a future of Cincinnati that has incredible parks and incredible rec centers that can help particularly in the summer months with our CPS students not in school, making sure they’re doing something productive and healthy with their time, our police and fire stations, to make sure that public safety continues to be a priority. And then just the ability for people to get in and around our city with good public transportation, good roads and bridges, and you know, frankly being able to just plow the snow. I mean, painting that picture of what a modern thriving, prosperous, growing Cincinnati looks like is directly relevant to whether or not we get this thing passed.
Other options
AP: It’s multifaceted. It could be someone else, but again, it goes back to the lease terms, which are very favorable towards Norfolk Southern. In addition to a third party arbitrator having to weigh in, having the authority to weigh in, if the parties can’t agree on the lease terms, Norfolk Southern also has the right to a first refusal.
AP: Cincinnati is really leading the way to advocate for Amtrak’s grants. That will open up huge possibilities for us, not just within Ohio, but via Indiana to Chicago along the Cardinal line. None of the non-passenger rail conversations that we’re having will have a negative impact on the passenger rail, and that is a big priority for the city.
AP: I think the most recent instance of the East Palestine environmental and human catastrophe that continues to unfold, was certainly a large event that made people reconsider the liabilities that’s associated with owning a railroad. So I think that most recently was the biggest instance of that. But I will say, since that catastrophe has occurred and continues to occur, we see almost on a daily basis, headlines from railcars that are derailing, or accidents that are happening, or deaths that are happening. Not just here in Ohio but around the country.
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